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Peak in election years, trough at midterms — but the noise drowns out the cycle

Trump's approval ratings have hit fresh lows, and speculation has revived that he may be engineering a political business cycle. Opinion is divided: some argue the presidential election year delivers the best economic performance and the midterm year the worst; others place the peak in the first year of a new administration; still others nominate the year before an election.

KC Law (Economist)

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KC Law (Economist)

Law Ka Chung is a Hong Kong economist and financial columnist.

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